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Dear Peter At our meeting last Friday we raised the possibility of our two industries working together to mutual advantage on the supply of products for the new European Union quotas to be opened next month. We undertook to provide you with a note on this matter. This is attached. Advancing this proposal into any level of detail is dependent entirely on your industry being prepared to work through a central marketing channel. We are looking forward therefore to the outcome of your consideration of this. With the start up of the new quotas close, we will need to resolve quickly how we are to proceed, one way or the other. In the meantime, and in any case, we will need to handle these proposals with sensitivity, for obvious reasons. Yours sincerely [Nigel Mitchel] Nigel R. Mitchell
EUROPEAN UNION : MFN IMPORT QUOTASIntroductionThere are significant gains to be had from the new dairy product import quotas to be opened by the European Union on 1 July this year in the form of:
It is proposed therefore that the Australian and New Zealand industries develop a means of jointly coordinating the supply of product for all, or at lease some of the new quotas. BackgroundThe regulation under which the new quotas will be administered has been finalised. The main features of the administrative system to be applied are:
SuppliersThe two key principal supply sources of product for these quotas to which importers are likely to turn will be New Zealand and Australia. This is especially so now that it is clear that, for the time being at lease, import quotas from Poland and other Eastern European sources are to be operated separately from the MFN quotas.Supply from the United States and/or Canada may be possible but, below a certain price threshold, will not be competitive without the use of export subsidies. These subsidies are not currently available from the United States, and, in any case, both the United States and Canada will be constrained by the limits on subsidized exports which will apply from 1 July. The possibility obviously will continue to exist for importers in the EU to secure product from elsewhere but for various reasons such as simple product availability, quality and pricing the options they have are likely to be quite restricted. New Zealand and Australia will be where attention is focused. Method of ManagementThe supply of New Zealand origin product can, and will be, carefully managed by the NZ Dairy Board.It is highly desirable that the supply of Australian product similarly be managed to limit the potential for importers in the European Union to play individual manufacturers and/or exporters off against each other. This will leave the trade without any secure framework within which to build and develop stable business relationships with (the lowest) pricing quickly likely to become the overwhelmingly dominant determinants of what sales are made, and from whom the product is supplied. Especially with licenses allocated on a three month basis, there will be a very flimsy foundation for production and supply planning. The central management of the supply of cheese for Australia's existing EU country specific quotas for cheddar cheese and cheese from processing enables earnings from those quotas to be maximized. These gains may not be exactly replicated under the MFN quotas but substantial benefits are there to be realized nonetheless. By extension, collaboration between New Zealand and Australia on supply will provide benefits to both. The lack of it will be costly to both. ProposalThis collaboration could take a number of forms but essential components of it would be:
NEXT STEPSFor this proposal to be advanced it will be necessary for the Australian industry's intentions with respect to supply against the quotas to be clarified. Without firm, coordination within Australia there will be no basis for cooperation with New Zealand.
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